The
company said it expects the number of paid subscribers for Creative
Cloud in the current quarter to top the 2,21,000 subscribers who signed
up in the second quarter, increasing the total to 7,00,000. The company
added 1,53,000 subscribers in the first quarter.
Adobe
is the latest traditional software company to make a big bet on the
cloud-based subscription model pioneered by companies such as
Salesforce.com, NetSuite and Google.
Subscription
models bring in less money upfront as payment is spread over the entire
period of use unlike traditional packaged software, but typically
ensure more predictable recurring revenue.
Shares of Adobe rose 4.4% in after-market trading. They closed at $43.36 on the Nasdaq on Tuesday.
Promotions
to drive adoption of Creative Cloud may affect average revenue per user
(ARPU) in the short term, but will add to annualized recurring revenue
(ARR) in the long term, chief financial officer Mark Garrett said on a
conference call with analysts.
"If I can get
to a better ARR number with more subscriber numbers at a slightly lower
ARPU, I would gladly make that tradeoff because it gets more people on
the platform, it gives us more critical mass," he said to Reuters.
Adobe has been shifting to web-based subscription service Creative Cloud a licensing model since last year.
Customers
are responding to the attraction of the Creative Cloud offering and the
convenience of subscriptions which are reflected in the results and
stock movement, B. Riley & Co analyst Daniel Cummins said.
Edward Jones technology analyst Josh Olson termed the guidance "pretty impressive."
"They
are essentially setting some pretty high standards in terms of what
they need to do for Q3 here, to surpass what was an already impressive
Q2 in terms of subscription adds," he said.
Adobe forecast current-quarter adjusted earnings of 29 cents to 35 cents per share on revenue of $975 million to $1.03 billion.
Analysts
on average are expecting earnings of 35 cents per share on revenue of
$1.01 billion, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
Adobe
said in May that upgrades for Creative Cloud, which includes Photoshop,
Illustrator and Flash, would be available only through online
subscriptions. The company also said it would not develop upgrades for
Creative Suite, the license-based version of Creative Cloud.
Adobe
said on Tuesday that net income for the second quarter fell to $76.5
million, or 15 cents per share, $223.9 million, or 45 cents per share, a
year earlier.
Excluding items, earnings were 36 cents per share.
Revenue fell 10% to $1.01 billion.
Analysts on average had expected earnings of 33 cents per share on revenue of $1.01 billion.
The company maintained its full-year outlook for adjusted earnings of about $1.45 per share on revenue of about $4.1 billion.

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